|

THE PLAY
DYING TO LIVE is an HIV awareness play that features realistic point
of views pertinent and relevant to the HIV/AIDS virus. This
performance deals with a DIVA/GOLD DIGGING unsaved lady married to a
well established man who is God fearing, but ended up in an
unequally yoke predicament. She decided to sample a little bit of
something outside of her marriage, who is a rough rider that is
infected with the virus. This handsome, suave talking young man is
aware, angry and available to any and everyone deliberately. This
HIV play will bring about some resolution on the stereo types that
the secular world views people who are believers of Jesus Christ.
This play is to assist in not only lifting up Jesus Christ name, but
also help influence people to control the flesh, not be unequally
yoke, display that money can not buy love, forgiveness, and millions
of other points, if it is God’s will. It will definitely leave
individuals with food for thought.
____________________________________________________
33 Million People with HIV/Aids
What can we do?
Teach Awareness
Teach Prevention
Through Drama, through plays
without Condemnation
Estimate of AIDS cases in U.S. rises
New test places the rate of infection 50 percent higher
New government estimates of the number of Americans who become
infected with the AIDS virus each year are 50 percent higher than
previous calculations suggested, sources said yesterday.
For more than a decade, epidemiologists at the Centers for Disease
Control and Prevention have pegged the number of new HIV infections
each year at 40,000. They now believe it is between 55,000 and
60,000.
The higher estimate is the product of a new method of testing blood
samples that can identify those who were infected within the
previous five months. With a way to distinguish recent infections
from long-standing ones, epidemiologists can then estimate how many
new infections are appearing nationwide each month or year.
The higher estimate is based on data from 19 states and large cities
that have been extrapolated to the nation as a whole.
The CDC has not announced the new estimate, but two people in direct
contact with the scientists preparing it confirmed it yesterday.
What is uncertain is whether the American HIV epidemic is growing or
is simply larger than anyone thought. It will take two more years of
using the more accurate method of estimation to spot a trend and
answer that question.
'Clearer picture'
"The likelihood is that this bigger number represents a clearer
picture of what has been there for the past few years. But we won't
know for sure for a while," said Walt Senterfitt, an epidemiologist
who is the chairman of the Community HIV/AIDS Mobilization Project
(CHAMP), a New York-based activist organization.
There is evidence, however, that at least some of the higher number
may reflect an uptick in infections in recent years. Information
from 33 states with the most precise form of reporting showed a 13
percent increase in HIV infections in homosexual men from 2001 to
2005.
Ironically, the news comes less than two weeks after UNAIDS, the
United Nations agency responsible for charting the course of the
global epidemic, drastically reduced its estimate of the number of
people living with the disease worldwide from 40 million to 33
million. The reason was the same: Crude methods of counting were
replaced by better ones.
"People in the United States are under the impression that this is
more of an international than a domestic issue," said Rowena
Johnston, vice president for research at amfAR, an AIDS research
foundation. "Yet these new CDC numbers are telling us that not only
does this continue to be a serious problem, it is actually a larger
one than we suspected."
A study describing the new U.S. estimate is under review at a
scientific journal, Thomas W. Skinner, a CDC spokesman, said last
night.
"We have to wait until this paper comes out, until it has gone
through peer review, before we know what the new estimates look
like," he said.
Circulating rumors
Rumors have circulated for weeks in newsletters and blogs that CDC,
the federal government's principal epidemiology agency, was
preparing a dramatic upward revision of HIV incidence. The
Washington Blade, a gay-oriented newspaper, reported rumors of the
new estimates two weeks ago.
The CDC has reported the figure of 40,000 new infections each year
for more than a decade, citing it as evidence that the epidemic in
this country is stable. But while widely quoted, that number has
never been adequately explained or justified, in the eyes of many
epidemiologists.
"There was skepticism about the validity of how that estimate was
reached," said Rochelle Walensky, an infectious diseases physician
and mathematical modeler at Harvard Medical School.
Some activists also were skeptical about it.
"It just doesn't seem plausible to me that it would be the same year
after year," said Mark Harrington, executive director of Treatment
Action Group, an AIDS activist think tank in New York.
Few doubt, however, that accurately counting new HIV infections is
unusually difficult. About one-quarter of people infected with the
virus do not know they are. The infection is largely "silent" for a
decade in most people, and a substantial number go for testing only
as they develop the symptoms of AIDS, the late stage of the illness.
Pressure to report
Only recently has CDC put intense pressure on state and city health
departments to report by name everyone who tests positive for HIV.
Previously, health departments had to report only the people who had
progressed to AIDS.
Counting only AIDS cases was an acceptable substitute for counting
new infections in the era when AIDS treatment did not significantly
prolong life. But with the arrival of combinations of potent
antiretroviral drugs in 1995, AIDS patients began living years
longer, making the estimates increasingly less accurate.
The new system in which health departments record individuals who
have just tested positive for the first time will eventually provide
a much clearer picture of the epidemic. However, some people oppose
it, arguing that it will keep the potentially infected from coming
in to be tested.
"There are so many barriers to testing and reporting," Harrington
said. "We are grasping in the dark, as far as I am concerned, about
the real size and shape of the epidemic."
The 19 states and cities that contributed the data for the new
estimate include New York City, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut,
Texas, Florida, and several Southern and Midwestern states.
The new method of estimating HIV incidence makes use of the
observation that a person who is recently infected with HIV and
whose immune system has just begun to make antibodies against the
virus shows a weaker reaction in the standard AIDS blood test than
those whose immune systems have been making antibodies for years.
By altering the test-tube conditions, scientists can identify those
who react weakly -- and with them, the percentage of a batch of HIV
tests that come from people newly infected.
The method is called the STAHRS method, for serological testing
algorithm for recent HIV seroconversion.
|